Across all physician specialties in the U.S., there is a projected shortage of 141,160 full-time equivalent physicians in 2038, according to a December report from the Health Resources and Services Administration.
Here’s a breakdown of specialties based on projected supply and demand adequacy for physician full-time equivalents in 2038:
- Vascular surgery: 66%
- Ophthalmology: 72%
- Thoracic surgery: 73%
- Plastic surgery: 74%
- Family medicine: 76%
- Hospital medicine: 78%
- Allergy and immunology: 83%
- Anesthesiology: 83%
- General internal medicine: 83%
- Geriatrics: 84%
- Pathology: 84%
- Urology: 84%
- Cardiology: 85%
- Nephrology: 85%
- Physical medicine and rehabilitation: 85%
- Obstetrics and gynecology: 86%
- Pediatrics: 86%
- Otolaryngology: 87%
- Radiation oncology: 87%
- Orthopedic surgery: 88%
- Neurological surgery: 89%
- Radiology: 90%
- General surgery: 91%
- Infectious diseases: 91%
- Rheumatology: 91%
- Other specialist: 93%
- Dermatology: 95%
- Hematology and oncology: 96%
- Colorectal surgery: 98%
- Gastroenterology: 98%
- Neurology: 104%
- Neonatology: 106%
- Endocrinology: 109%
- Critical care and pulmonology medicine: 112%
- Emergency medicine: 116%
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