The physician shortage by specialty in 2038 

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Across all physician specialties in the U.S., there is a projected shortage of 141,160 full-time equivalent physicians in 2038, according to a December report from the Health Resources and Services Administration. 

Here’s a breakdown of specialties based on projected supply and demand adequacy for physician full-time equivalents in 2038:

  • Vascular surgery: 66%
  • Ophthalmology: 72%
  • Thoracic surgery: 73%
  • Plastic surgery: 74%
  • Family medicine: 76%
  • Hospital medicine: 78%
  • Allergy and immunology: 83%
  • Anesthesiology: 83%
  • General internal medicine: 83%
  • Geriatrics: 84%
  • Pathology: 84%
  • Urology: 84%
  • Cardiology: 85%
  • Nephrology: 85%
  • Physical medicine and rehabilitation: 85%
  • Obstetrics and gynecology: 86%
  • Pediatrics: 86%
  • Otolaryngology: 87%
  • Radiation oncology: 87%
  • Orthopedic surgery: 88%
  • Neurological surgery: 89%
  • Radiology: 90%
  • General surgery: 91%
  • Infectious diseases: 91%
  • Rheumatology: 91%
  • Other specialist: 93%
  • Dermatology: 95%
  • Hematology and oncology: 96%
  • Colorectal surgery: 98%
  • Gastroenterology: 98%
  • Neurology: 104%
  • Neonatology: 106%
  • Endocrinology: 109%
  • Critical care and pulmonology medicine: 112%
  • Emergency medicine: 116%

At the Becker’s 32nd Annual Meeting: The Business and Operations of ASCs, taking place October 29-31 in Chicago, ASC leaders, surgeons and healthcare executives will explore strategies to drive growth, enhance operational performance, navigate reimbursement challenges and prepare for the future of ambulatory surgery. Apply for complimentary registration now.

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